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How we define being in a recession is not helpful

September 26, 2023

The definition may be too narrow.

Summarised by Centrist

In his article “We asked twenty economists how they would define a recession in New Zealand”, Dan Brunskill describes how New Zealand has narrowly avoided being declared in recession.

Statistics NZ revised its March growth figure by one basis point, initially showing a 0.1% contraction, indicating a quasi-recession. A June data revision rounded it to 0.0%, avoiding the recession label.

This fixation on tiny shifts in inflation-adjusted aggregate output as the sole indicator for a recession seems absurd. 

Economists have proposed alternatives and called for a more holistic and qualitative approach – assessing a range of economic conditions.

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Read the full story over at Interest.co.nz

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